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Contested Numbers: The failed negotiation of objective statistics in a methodological review of Kinsey et al.’s sex research

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Abstract

From 1950 to 1952, statisticians W.G. Cochran, C.F. Mosteller, and J.W. Tukey reviewed A.C. Kinsey and colleagues’ methodology. Neither the history-and-philosophy of science literature nor contemporary theories of interdisciplinarity seem to offer a conceptual model that fits this forced interaction, which was characterized by significant power asymmetries and disagreements on multiple levels. The statisticians initially attempted to exclude all non-technical matters from their evaluation, but their political and personal investments interfered with this agenda. In the face of McCarthy’s witch hunts, negotiations with Kinsey and his funding institutions became integral to the review group’s work. This paper analyzes the heavy burden of emotional and affective labor in this collaboration, the conflicts caused by competing visions of objectivity, and the uses of statistical knowledge to gain and sustain authority. Kinsey’s refusal to adopt the recommended probability sample damaged his already precarious position even further and marked him as a biased researcher who put his personal agenda above methodological rigor. Kinsey’s uncooperative demeanor can be explained by distrust resulting from numerous adverse reactions to his work and by fear of having his sexuality exposed. This case study illustrates that the very concept of valid numbers can become an arena for power struggles and that quantification alone does not guarantee productive exchanges across disciplines. It calls for a deeper conceptual analysis of the prerequisites for successful scientific collaborations.

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Notes

  1. In the following, I refer to this publication as the “Male volume” to distinguish it from the subsequent “Female volume,” Kinsey et al. (1953). Both works together are referred to as the “Kinsey Reports.”

  2. The abbreviation “KPM” follows the actors’ terminology.

  3. On the development and use of the related Heterosexual–Homosexual Rating Scale, see McWhirter et al. (1990). For a deeper analysis of the scale and its construction, see Drucker (2010, 2014).

  4. For the information on which this and the following paragraph draw, and for detailed insights into the history and politics of queer life in the mid-20th century, see Chauncey (1994), D’Emilio (1983), Escoffier (1998), Johnson (2004), Lewis (2010), Minton (2001), Terry (1999), Wake (2011). On the extent to which the Kinsey Reports rested on and influenced “sexual citizenship” and U.S. Americans’ self-image, see Cuordileone (2005), Gilbert (2005), Morantz (1977), Reumann (2005).

  5. The Kinsey Reports did not divide people into “homosexuals” and “heterosexuals.” They considered sexual behavior, not sexual identity, and understood sexual desire as fluid over the course of a person’s life; Drucker (2010, 2014, pp. 132–141).

  6. This abbreviation is also adopted from the historical actors.

  7. All archival sources referenced in this paper, unless otherwise noted, are from John W. Tukey Papers, Mss. Ms. Coll. 117, American Philosophical Society Library, Philadelphia, PA.

  8. Kinsey got along relatively well with Mosteller, who was comparably quiet during meetings and written exchanges with KPM. Kinsey felt comfortable enough with Mosteller to offer him a position as a paid statistical advisor after the completion of the review, but Mosteller declined; Jones (1997, pp. 683–684).

  9. For a more general analysis of “the politics-patronage-social science nexus in Cold War America,” see Solovey (2013).

  10. The details of KPM’s sex lives and the impact of their sexuality on the content of their work are beyond the scope of this article. For a detailed treatment of “homosociality” and “[t]he confluence of sexual and intellectual matters” in another influential Cold War research group, see Wilson (2009, p. 847).

  11. On Kinsey’s funding, see Jones (1997, pp. 417–464), Pomeroy (1972, p. 80). For more information on the history of the CRPS, see Aberle and Corner (1953), Beach (1965), Clarke (1998), Cochrane (1987), Corner (1981), Hegarty (2012), Pomeroy (1972), and the oral history interview with George W. Corner, conducted by James H. Jones on 08/05/1971 in Bloomington, Indiana, courtesy of the Indiana University Center for the Study of History and Memory.

  12. The quote “decent and proper” is from the aforementioned oral history interview with George W. Corner.

  13. Quote taken from oral history interview with Clara B. McMillen Kinsey, conducted by James H. Jones on 12/10/1971 in Bloomington, Indiana, courtesy of the Indiana University Center for the Study of History and Memory.

  14. See also the aforementioned oral history interview with George W. Corner.

  15. Gebhard joined the team in 1946, after much of the work on the Male volume had been completed, hence the abbreviation “KPM” does not include his name. Pomeroy later used the abbreviation “KPGM”; Pomeroy (1972, p. 370).

  16. See the aforementioned oral history interview with Clara B. McMillen Kinsey.

  17. See the aforementioned oral history interview with Clara B. McMillen Kinsey.

  18. It occurred to me that Kinsey might have asked the statisticians to provide their sex histories because he was hoping to find in CMT potential allies in his fight against heteronormativity, but the battle lines seem to have been drawn before KPM took CMT’s sex histories.

  19. The quotes are taken from the aforementioned oral history interview with Clara B. McMillen Kinsey.

  20. Since then, Pomeroy et al. (1982) have broken the secret and published the code.

  21. Jones (1997, p. 639) suggested that Wilks had intended for CMT to draft a special report for the CRPS from the beginning.

  22. Kinsey’s desire for large samples was well-known. Jones (1997, p. 206; 359) called it “[collector’s] mania,” which might have been born out of an attempt to compensate for the loss of Magnus Hirschfeld’s library and collection that was destroyed by the Nazis (1933); Allen et al. (2017, pp. 17; 27–36). Kinsey’s obsession with sex histories was in line with other Cold War attempts to collect large amounts of data on the most intimate aspects of human experience; Lemov (2015).

  23. See the aforementioned oral history interview with George W. Corner.

  24. On Reece’s anti-communist agenda, see Bowers (2010).

  25. See also the aforementioned oral history interview with George W. Corner.

  26. See the aforementioned oral history interview with George W. Corner.

  27. On Tukey’s life and work, see the special issues of Statistical Science, 18(3) (2003), and Annals of Statistics, 30(6) (2002). For eight volumes of Tukey’s biography, bibliography, and commented works, see Brillinger et al. (1984–1994). Further sources include Aspray and Tucker (1985), Brillinger (1976), Brillinger et al. (1997), Fernholz and Morgenthaler (2000), Hoaglin (2002), Kafadar (2001), Lehmann (2008), Leonhardt (2000), McCullagh (2003), Mosteller (2005), Statistical Science Editorial Office (1988), Thompson (2001).

  28. On the logic of statistical sampling, see Hacking (2016, pp. 108–121).

  29. This insistence on probability sampling resonated with a wider suspicion against social scientists by Cold Warriors, funding agencies, and government officials. Allegedly, researchers who did not uphold mechanical objectivity would always put advocacy above unbiased analysis; Solovey (2013).

  30. KPM nonetheless ended up oversampling college students, prison inmates, and gay men; Jones (1997, p. 522).

  31. Callard and Fitzgerald (2015) addressed issues of both power and emotions in interdisciplinary collaboration and suggested that individuals involved in interdisciplinary work might cultivate a habit of mutual subjugation, renunciation of parity and reciprocity, and “being unsettled together” (p. 109). From my point of view, this advice puts too little weight on an explicitly anti-discriminatory agenda.

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Acknowledgements

I am indebted to Charles Greifenstein and the staff at the American Philosophical Society Library; Shawn C. Wilson at The Kinsey Institute for Research in Sex, Gender, and Reproduction; and Barbara Truesdell at the Center for the Study of History and Memory at Indiana University for their kind support. I am also grateful to Susan Lindee, Jason Chernesky, Kara Cochran, Andrew Hogan, Rebecca Mueller, and Amy Paeth for helpful comments on earlier drafts of this paper.

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None beyond my regular stipend/salary.

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Cornel, T. Contested Numbers: The failed negotiation of objective statistics in a methodological review of Kinsey et al.’s sex research. HPLS 43, 13 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40656-020-00363-6

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