Abstract
We present three experiments that explore the robustness of the authentic-apparent effect—the finding that participants are less likely to attribute knowledge to the protagonist in apparent- than in authentic-evidence Gettier cases. The results go some way towards suggesting that the effect is robust to assessments of the justificatory status of the protagonist’s belief. However, not all of the results are consistent with an effect invariant across two demographic contexts: American and Indian nationalities.
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Notes
Participants complete several demographic questions when they sign up for Prolific. One is, what is your nationality? Prolific states that participants can chose only one nationality. And they leave this question to the participants to interpret. It is worth noting that recruiting participants who report that their nationality is the US or India does raise a possibility that may complicate the results presented in this paper. An anonymous reviewer observes that reporting an Indian nationality is consistent with residing in the West. This includes Indians who have long lived in the US or the UK, even during their formative years. The complication that this observation presents is reasonably clear. To the extent that our Indian sample is comprised of individuals whose psychologies have been substantially shaped by Western environments, and thus quality as WEIRD, it is reasonable to worry that our experiments are unlikely to find any cross-cultural differences. Indeed, any evidence from our experiments seeming to suggest that the authentic-apparent effect is robust across American and Indian nationalities could be because we were simply comparing, more or less, the responses of one WEIRD sample with those of another WEIRD or WEIRDish sample. We acknowledge that it is possible that the Indian-specific results reported in this paper may stem, in large part, from Indians living in the West. As such, any results that appear to indicate a cross-culturally robust authentic-apparent effect needs to be interpreted with this complication in mind (along with the fact that all the materials were presented in English, which may be masking important differences as well). With that said, the flip of the line of reasoning just presented is that any evidence of cross-cultural differences reported in the paper may be an underrepresentation of the magnitude of the difference among WEIRD Americans and less WEIRD Indians. And thus, the experiments of this paper could be seen as operating under somewhat stringent conditions insofar as building a positive case for cross-cultural differences is concerned. As we will see, such differences did emerge in Experiments 2 and 3.
An anonymous reviewer noted an ambiguity in the first confidence measure. It isn’t perfectly clear to which question this one is referring. Is it the comprehension question or the one about epistemic justification? The most natural interpretation is the latter, since it is the one that immediately precedes the confidence measure. But admittedly, some participants may have reached a different interpretation, which would introduce some degree of measurement noise in the experiment (and the next). In Experiment 3, we clarify the question.
Indirect effects are also interesting, of course. That the indirect effect of case type on knowledge scores through justification scores was not significant is somewhat surprising. In the authentic-evidence case of this experiment, the belief at issue is inferred from a falsehood, whereas, in the apparent-evidence case, it comes from a truth. This difference seems to matter to participants. A main effect of case type on justification scores did emerge. And yet the indirect pathway was not significant in any of the mediation analyses. Why is that? One possibility is that the authentic-apparent effect on knowledge is not mediated through justificatory assessments, at least not in response to the vignettes used in this experiment. But there are other possibilities as well. Simulations by Fritz and MacKinnon (2007) suggest that bias-corrected bootstrapping tests of mediation, of which PROCESS is an example, can call for rather large sample sizes to achieve a power of at least 0.80. Indeed, in some conditions, the required sample size is nearly double the size of our overall sample in this experiment. So, another possibility is that the non-significant indirect effects that emerged in this experiment are due to a lack of statistical power. We thus caution the reader against drawing any strong conclusions from the null results that we witnessed.
Another difference emerged from the nationality-specific mediation results of Experiments 1 and 2. In Experiment 1, among neither nationality did clear evidence emerge that the authentic-apparent contrast exerts an indirect influence on knowledge attributions through attributions of justification. In Experiment 2, matters are different. A simple mediation analysis revealed a significant indirect effect in the American sample but not in the Indian sample. Might the internal dynamics of the authentic-apparent contrast play out differently for Americans than for Indians, at least in response to Coin-like vignettes? The results of Experiment 2 provide some hints that the answer is, yes. This answer stems from two considerations working in concert. The first is the pattern of results just discussed: whereas a simple mediation analysis revealed, for the American sample, a significant indirect pathway from the authentic-apparent contrast to knowledge attributions via justification assessments, the same is not true of the Indian sample. The second consideration relates to the first set of ANOVA results reported in the previous section. Recall that an interaction effect between case type and nationality on justification scores emerged. The increased tendency to ascribe justification to the protagonist in the apparent- than in the authentic-evidence case was stronger among American than Indian participants. This combination of considerations suggests that, as we go from authentic- to apparent-evidence Coin-like cases, there is a stronger willingness among Americans to treat the protagonist’s belief as justified, which appears to have downstream effects on their knowledge attributions. The first leg of this indirect pathway is either not present at all in the Indian sample or it is weaker.
Future research into the mechanisms whereby contrastive probes depress rates of knowledge ascriptions is also likely to help. The explanation that will occur to many is protagonist projection. Evidently, or so the thought goes, the reason that contrastive probes tend to lead to lower rates of knowledge ascriptions is that they control for non-literal knowledge ascriptions where their content is not that the protagonist actually does know but rather only that she thinks she knows. We acknowledge that this explanation is a reasonable one. But we also hasten to add that there are other possibilities as well. One is that, rather than controlling for a response option that spontaneously occurs to many participants, contrastive probes do something closer to the opposite: they present a response option that doesn’t spontaneously occur to many when they simply consider standard probes. That could matter. For, as work on formal models of categorization makes clear, the response probabilities that these models generate will depend on the alternative categories under consideration (e.g., Nosofsky 2011).
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Gonnerman, C., Singh, B. & Toomey, G. Authentic and Apparent Evidence Gettier Cases Across American and Indian Nationalities. Rev.Phil.Psych. 14, 685–709 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13164-021-00610-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13164-021-00610-0