Abstract
After more than a dozen years of activity, some 161 indictments, 64 arrests, and 47 surrenders, the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) has accomplished a good deal in terms of its primary task of prosecution. Nonetheless, there is still much debate over the state of transitional justice in the Balkans and what has been accomplished. We cannot forget that the ICTY was created with broad political and social purposes in mind, specifically to contribute to the restoration and maintenance of peace. Using a comparative framework, we develop benchmarks of transitional justice outcomes to examine these vague but important and ambitious goals. Although conventional wisdom says that the ICTY is used instrumentally by Balkan leaders who are fundamentally opposed to the court’s existence, we demonstrate that there is also evidence of broader political and social change throughout the region. Thus, we contend that Balkan countries have indeed moved beyond mere prosecution.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The ICTY expects to close its doors in 2014. For more on its target dates and the challenges of completion, see http://www.icty.org/sid/10016.
On the concept of judicial romanticism, see Forsythe (2006), chapter 4.
Here, we adopt a similar approach and outlook as that in McMahon and Forsythe (2008).
Subotić’s work also incorporates truth commissions and goes beyond considering only trials and arrests (2009).
For Kosovo, it was from 2008 to 2010.
For discussion of the World Governance Indicators, see http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/pdf/rl.pdf.
To be clear, the investigations that were thwarted were of Serbs, not Kosovars.
While some of the opinions listed herein come from interviews conducted with the authors, all of the surveys were conducted by other scholars
Based on face-to-face interviews with 2,000 adults between December 2006 and January 2007. Margin of error estimated at ±2 percentage points. It should be noted that another poll conducted by Intermedia in 2006 indicated that the majority feels “foreign powers are responsible for most of the country’s problems.”
Based upon interviews with 1,000 or more individuals in each respective state.
Since the initial writing of this manuscript, the Research and Documentation Center in Bosnia-Herzegovina has left RECOM. We thank an anonymous reviewer for pointing out this fact.
Author interviews in Sarajevo and Brcko, Bosnia and Pristina, Kosovo May 2011. See also the website on the Recom initiative at: http://www.zarekom.org,
See the extensive list on the RECOM initiative at: http://www.zarekom.org.
The authors employed a cross-sectional cluster sample survey. The survey was administered to 1,399 Kosovar Albanians living in 593 randomly selected households.
Results based on face-to-face interviews conducted in February 2007 with randomly selected samples of about 1,000 residents aged 15 and older in Kosovo, Serbia, and Albania. Margin of error estimated at ±4 %.
As in 2003, a three-stage stratified sample was utilized; face-to-face interviews were conducted with 1,245 individuals over age 18 in August 2004.
This survey was conducted in partnership with the Belgrade Centre on Human Rights. A three-stage, stratified, representative sampling process was utilized; 1,400 face-to-face interviews were conducted with individuals over the age of 16. The sample was expanded for groups of particular interests, including the young (16–23), Albanians, and Bosniaks.
This was also confirmed in a discussion with Andrzej Pyrka, Programme Director of the Gallup Organization in Brussels, Belgium, May 26, 2011.
References
Akhavan P (1998) Justice in the Hague, Peace in the Former Yugoslavia? A Commentary on the United Nations War Crimes Tribunal. Human Rights Quarterly 20(4): 737–816
Amnesty International (2005) Amnesty International’s concerns on the implementation of the “completion strategy” of the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia. http://www.amnesty.org/en/library/info/EUR05/001/2005/en. Accessed 1 March 2012
B92 (2011) Tadic calls claims that government knew where Mladić was “rubbish.” http://www.b92.net/eng/news/politics-article.php?yyyy=2011&mm=05&dd=27&nav_id=74581. Accessed 28 June 2012
Balkan Monitor (2010) Survey Data: Next 5 Yrs: Armed Conflict in the Balkans. http://www.balkan-monitor.eu/index.php/dashboard. Accessed 28 February 2012
Barnett M, Duvall R (2005) Power in International Politics. International Organization 59(1): 39–75.
Barria L, Roper S (2008) Judicial Capacity Building in Bosnia and Herzegovina: Understanding Legal Reform Beyond the Completion Strategy of the ICTY. Human Rights Review 9(3): 317–330
Bass G (2000) Stay the Hand of Vengeance: The Politics of War Crimes Tribunals. Princeton University Press, Princeton
Belgrade Centre for Human Rights (2003) Attitudes towards the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia (ICTY). http://english.bgcentar.org.rs/images/stories/Datoteke/attitudes%20towards%20the%20international%20criminal%20tribunal%20for%20the%20former%20yugoslavia%20icty%202003.pdf. Accessed 3 March 2012.
Belgrade Centre for Human Rights (2004) Attitudes towards the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia (ICTY). http://english.bgcentar.org.rs/images/stories/Datoteke/attitudes%20towards%20the%20international%20criminal%20tribunal%20for%20the%20former%20yugoslavia%20icty%202004.pdf. Accessed 3 March 2012.
Bilefsky D (2008a) Fears of New Ethnic Conflict in Bosnia. New York Times Online http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/14/world/europe/14bosnia.html. Accessed 13 May 2011
Bilefsky, D (2008b) Kosovo Declares Its Independence from Serbia. New York Times Online http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/18/world/europe/18kosovo.html. Accessed 13 May 2011
Bohlander M (2003) Last Exit Bosnia: Transferring War Crimes Prosecutions from the International Tribunal to Domestic Courts. Criminal Law Forum 14(1): 59–99.
Bose S (2002) Bosnia after Dayton: Nationalist Partition and International Intervention. Oxford University Press, New York
Cardozo B, Kaiser R, Gotway C, Agani F (2003) Mental Health, Social Functioning, and Feelings of Hatred and Revenge of Kosovar Albanians 1 Year After the War in Kosovo. Journal of Traumatic Stress 16(4): 351–360
Chandler D (1999) The Limits of Peace-Building: International Regulation and Civil Society Development in Bosnia. International Peacekeeping 6(1): 109–125
Clark J (2012) The ICTY and Reconciliation in Croatia. Journal of International Criminal Justice 10(2): 397–422
Cobban H (2006) Think Again: International Courts. Foreign Policy 153: 22–28
Cruvellier T, Valinas M (2006) Croatia: Selected Developments in Transitional Justice International Center for Transitional Justice Occasional Paper Series, December 2006. http://wcjp.unicri.it/proceedings/docs/ICTJ_Croatia%20developments%20tr%20justice_2006_eng.PDF. Accessed 28 June 2012.
Dancy G, Kim H, Wiebelhaus-Brahm E (2010) The Turn to Truth: Trends in Truth Commission Experimentation. Journal of Human Rights 9(1): 45–64
Drumbl M (2007) Atrocity, Punishment, and International Law. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Elster J (2004) Closing the Books: Transitional Justice in Historical Perspective. Cambridge University Press, New York
Erlanger S (2000) Croatian Victors Fret About What Awaits Them. New York Times Online http://www.nytimes.com/2000/01/06/world/croatian-victors-fret-about-what-awaits-them.html. Accessed 12 May 2011
Fisher S (2006) Political Change in the Post-Communist Slovakia and Croatia: From Nationalist to Europeanist. Palgrave MacMillan, New York
Forsythe D (2006) Human Rights in International Relations, 2nd ed. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Forsythe D (2011) Human Rights and Mass Atrocities: Revisiting Transitional Justice. International Studies Review 13(1): 85–95
Freedom House (2006) Freedom in the World Country Report 2006: Croatia. http://www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=22&year=2006&country=6946. Accessed 9 November 2010
Freedom House (2007) Nations in Transit 2007: Croatia. http://freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=47&nit=420&year=2007. Accessed 8 November 2010
Freedom House (2008a) Freedom in the World Country Report 2008: Croatia. http://www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=22&year=2008&country=7377. Accessed 8 November 2010
Freedom House (2008b) Nations in Transit 2008: Croatia. http://www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=47&nit=449&year=2008. Accessed 8 November 2010
Freedom House (2009) Bosnia-Herzegovina. http://www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=22&year=2009&country=7571. Accessed 8 November 2010
Freedom House (2010) Nations in Transit 2010. http://www.freedomhouse.org/report/nations-transit/nations-transit-2010. Accessed 13 July 2012.
Gallup (2007) UN, EU Viewed Far More Positively by Kosovar Albanians Than Serbs. www.gallup.com/poll/27679/UN-Viewed-Far-More-Positively-Kosovar-Albanians-Than-Serbs.aspx. Accessed 6 November 2010
Gallup (2008) Many in Bosnia and Herzegovina Support EU Membership. www.gallup.com/poll/107284/Many-Bosnia-Herzegovina-Support-Membership.aspx. Accessed 6 November 2010
George A, Bennett A (2005) Case Studies and Theory Development in the Social Sciences. MIT Press, Cambridge.
Gerring J (2007) Case Study Research Principles and Practices. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Hagan J (2003) Justice in the Balkans: Prosecuting War Crimes in the Hague Tribunal. University of Chicago Press, Chicago
Hampson FO (1996) Nurturing Peace: Why Peace Settlements Succeed or Fail. USIP, Washington DC
Hedges C (1997) 10 Bosnian Croats Croats Surrender to War Crimes Tribunal. New York Times Online. www.nytimes.com/1997/10/07/world/10-bosnian-croats-surrender-to-war-crimes-tribunal.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm. Accessed 14 July 2012
Human Rights Watch (2006) Looking for Justice. http://www.hrw.org/en/reports/2006/02/07/looking-justice. Accessed 1 March 2012.
Human Rights Watch (2012) World Report 2012: Croatia. http://www.hrw.org/world-report-2012/world-report-2012-croatia. Accessed 13 July 2012
Huyse L (1995) On the Choices Successor Elites Make in Dealing with the Past. In: Kritz N (ed) Transitional Justice: How Emerging Democracies Reckon with Former Regimes. USIP, Washington DC, pp 337–349
ICTY (1998) Statement by the Prosecutor following the withdrawal of the charges against 14 accused. http://www.icty.org/sid/7671. Accessed 15 July 2012.
ICTY (2010) Press Releases: Prosecutor Brammertz’s Address before the UN Security Council. http://www.icty.org/sid/10560/en. Accessed 28 February 2012.
International Center for Transitional Justice (ICTJ) (2004) Serbia and Montenegro: Selected Developments in Transitional Justice. http://es.ictj.org/images/content/1/1/117.pdf. Accessed 26 June 2011.
International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia (2011) About the ICTY. http://www.icty.org/sid/3. Accessed 28 February 2012
International Crisis Group (2007) Ensuring Bosnia’s Future: A New International Engagement Strategy. http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/europe/%20180_ensuring_bosnias_future.ashx. Accessed 13 July 2010.
International Crisis Group (2009) Bosnia’s Incomplete Transition: Between Dayton and Europe. http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/europe/198_bosnias_incomplete_transition___between_dayton_and_europe.ashx. Accessed 12 July 2010.
International Republican Institute (2006) Poll: Serbia January 2006. Available from the authors.
Kelley J (2004) International Actors on the Domestic Scene: Membership Conditionality and Socialization by International Institutions. International Organization 58(3): 425–457
Kerr R (2005) The Road from Dayton to Brussels? The International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia and the Politics of War Crimes in Bosnia. European Security 14(3): 319–337
Kerr, R (2007) Peace Through Justice? The International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia. Southeast European and Black Sea Studies 7(3): 373–385
Kim H, Sikkink K (2010) Explaining the Deterrence Effects of Human Rights Prosecutions for Transitional Countries. International Studies Quarterly 54(4): 939–963
King G, Keohane R, Verba S (1994) Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific Inference in Qualitative Research. Princeton University Press, Princeton
Kritz N (1995) Transitional Justice: How Emerging Democracies Reckon with Former Regimes, Vol. 1. USIP, Washington DC
Kritz N (2009) Policy Implications of Empirical Research on Transitional Justice. In: Van der Merwe H, Baxter V, Chapman A (ed) Assessing the Impact of Transitional Justice: Challenges for Empirical Research. USIP, Washington DC, pp 13–22
Lamont C (2010) International Criminal Justice and the Politics of the Compliance. Ashgate, Burlington
Lippman P (2006) Srebrenica’s Search for Justice. http://www.opendemocracy.net/conflict-yugoslavia/srebrenica_3851.jsp. Accessed 17 November 2010
Lowry R, McMahon P (2010) Home Court Advantage? Domestic Trials and Transitional Justice in Bosnia-Herzegovina. In: Barria L, Roper S (ed) The Development of the Institutions of Human Rights: A Comparative Study. Palgrave McMillan, New York, pp 99–116
McLean R, Simons M (2005) Croatian Suspect in War Crimes Is Arrested in Canary Isles. New York Times Online. http://www.nytimes.com/2005/12/09/international/europe/09croatia.html. Accessed 13 November 2010
McMahon P (2007) Taming Ethnic Hatred: Ethnic Cooperation and Transnational Networks in Eastern Europe. Syracuse University Press, Syracuse
McMahon P, Forsythe D (2008) The ICTY’s Impact on Serbia: Judicial Politics Meets Network Politics. Human Rights Quarterly 30(2): 412–435
McMahon P, Western J (2009) The Death of Dayton: How to Stop Bosnia from Falling Apart. Foreign Affairs 88(5): 69–83
Meernik J (2005) Justice and Peace? How the International Criminal Tribunal Affects Societal Peace in Bosnia. Journal of Peace Research 42(4): 271–289
Mendeloff D (2004) Truth-Seeking, Truth-Telling, and Postconflict Peacebuilding: Curb the Enthusiasm? International Studies Review 6(3): 355–380
Minow M (1998) Between Vengeance and Forgiveness: Facing History after Genocide and Mass Violence. Beacon Press, Boston
Nettelfield L (2010) Courting Democracy in Bosnia and Herzegovina: The Hague Tribunal’s Impact in a Postwar State. Cambridge University Press, New York
HINA News Agency (2004) Croatian government has objections to latest Hague indictments—premier. 2 April. Available thru: Lexis-Nexis Academic.
HINA News Agency (2006) Hague tribunal rules against referral to Croatia of generals’ trials. 12 September. Available thru: Lexis-Nexis Academic.
Nyiri Z, English C (2008) Kosovo’s Declaration of Independence Carries Risk. http://www.gallup.com/poll/104416/kosovos-declaration-independence-carries-risk.aspx. Accessed 18 July 2011
Olsen T, Payne L, Reiter A (2010) Transitional Justice in Balance: Comparing Processes, Weighing Efficacy. USIP, Washington DC
Orentlicher D (1991) Settling Accounts: The Duty to Prosecute Human Rights Violation of a Prior Regime. The Yale Law Journal 100(8): 2537–2615
Orentlicher D (2008) Shrinking the Space for Denial: The Impact of the ICTY in Serbia. Open Society Institute, New York
Orentlicher D (2010) That Someone Guilty Should be Punished. Open Society Institute, New York
OSCE (2005) Background Report: Domestic War Crime Trials in 2004. www.osce.org/zagreb/14425. Accessed 28 February 2012
OSCE (2007) Background Report: Domestic War Crimes Proceedings 2006. www.osce.org/zagreb/28339. Accessed 28 February 2012
OSCE (2009) Public Perception in Serbia of the ICTY and the national courts dealing with war crimes. http://english.bgcentar.org.rs/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=406%3Aattitudes-towards-the-international-criminal-tribunal-for-the-former-yugoslavia-icty-&catid=103&Itemid=81. Accessed 28 February 2012
Peskin V (2008) International Justice in Rwanda and the Balkans. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Peskin V, Boduszyński M (2003) International Justice and Domestic Politics: Post-Tudjman Croatia and the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia. Europe-Asia Studies 55(7): 1117–1142
Pond E (2006) Endgame in the Balkans: Regime Change, European Style. Brookings Institution Press, Washington DC
Rezun M (2001) Europe’s Nightmare: The Struggle for Kosovo. Praeger Publishers, Westport
Slaughter AM (2009) America’s Edge: Power in the Networked Century. Foreign Affairs 88(1): 94–113
Stojanovich D (2008) Radovan Karadžić Captured in Serbia. Huffington Post Online. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/21/radovan-Karadžić-captured_n_114156.html. Accessed 5 August 2011
Stromseth J, Wippman D, Brooks R (2006) Can Might Make Right? Building the Rule of Law After Military Interventions. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Subotić J (2009) Hijacked Justice: Dealing with the Past in the Balkans. Cornell University Press, Ithaca
United Nations (UN) (1993) Security Council Resolution 827. http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N93/306/28/IMG/N9330628.pdf?OpenElement. Accessed 10 October 2008
United Nations (UN) (2001) Slobodan Milošević Arrested, Charged with Corruption. UN Wire, 2 April
United States Agency for International Development (USAID) (2001) 2000 NGO Sustainability Index: Kosovo. http://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/pnacn876.pdf. Accessed 1 August 2011
USAID (2007) 2006 NGO Sustainability Index for Central and Eastern Europe and Eurasia. http://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/pnadk556.pdf. Accessed 12 July 2012
USAID (2010) 2009 NGO Sustainability Index for Central and Eastern Europe and Eurasia. http://www.usaid.gov/locations/europe_eurasia/dem_gov/ngoindex/2009/complete_document.pdf. Accessed 28 February 2012
Vachudova M (2005) Europe Undivided: Democracy, Leverage, & Integration After Communism. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Van der Merwe H, Baxter V, Chapman A (2009) Assessing the Impact of Transitional Justice: Challenges for Empirical Research. USIP, Washington DC
Vinjamuri L, Snyder J (2004) Advocacy and Scholarship in the Study of International War Crimes Tribunals and Transitional Justice. Annual Review of Political Science 7(1): 345–362
Wood N (2005) Europe Union Upsets Croatia With Demands. New York Times Online. http://www.nytimes.com/2005/02/28/international/europe/28croatia.html. Accessed 12 July 2012
Wood N (2006) Croat’s Case Offers Guide to Finding Bosnian Serb Fugitives. New York Times Online. http://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/02/international/europe/02croatia.html. Accessed 12 May 2011
Wood N (2007) Serbian Court Convicts 4 in Srebrenica Massacre. New York Times Online. http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/10/world/europe/10cnd-serbia.html. Accessed 12 May 2011
Acknowledgments
A much earlier draft of this paper was presented at the 2009 Midwest Political Science Association Annual Meeting. The authors wish to thank David Forsythe, Faten Ghosn, Jill Irvine, Nikolay Marinov, Jelena Subotic, and the editor and three anonymous reviewers at HRR for helpful comments on various drafts of this manuscript.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
McMahon, P.C., Miller, J.L. From Adjudication to Aftermath: Assessing the ICTY’s Goals beyond Prosecution. Hum Rights Rev 13, 421–442 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12142-012-0239-x
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12142-012-0239-x