Handling Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, and the Bayesian Controversy

Vienna Circle Institute Yearbook 11:199-216 (2004)
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Abstract

This paper is divided into two parts. In the first part, I will describe briefly how advances in artificial intelligence in the 1970s led to the crucial problem of handling uncertainty, and how attempts to solve this problem led in turn to the emergence of the new theory of Bayesian networks. I will try to focus in this historical account on the key ideas and will not give a full account of the technical details. Then, in the second part, I will consider the implications of these new results for the long-standing controversy between Bayesians and non-Bayesians.

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Donald Gillies
University College London

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