A Causal Understanding of When and When Not to Jeffrey Conditionalize


Authors
Ben Schwan
National Institutes of Health
Reuben Stern
Ludwig Maximilians Universität, München
Abstract
There are cases of ineffable learning — i. e., cases where an agent learns something, but becomes certain of nothing that she can express — where it is rational to update by Jeffrey conditionalization. But there are likewise cases of ineffable learning where updating by Jeffrey conditionalization is irrational. In this paper, we first characterize a novel class of cases where it is irrational to update by Jeffrey conditionalization. Then we use the d-separation criterion to develop a causal understanding of when and when not to Jeffrey conditionalize that bars updating by Jeffrey conditionalization in these cases. Finally, we reflect on how the possibility of so-called “unfaithful” causal systems bears on the normative force of the causal updating norm that we advocate.
Keywords No keywords specified (fix it)
Categories (categorize this paper)
Options
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Request removal from index
Revision history

Download options

Our Archive


Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 45,662
External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library

References found in this work BETA

No references found.

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

Jeffrey Conditionalization: Proceed with Caution.Borut Trpin - forthcoming - Philosophical Studies:1-28.
Inference to the Best Explanation in Uncertain Evidential Situations.Borut Trpin & Max Pellert - 2019 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 70 (4):977-1001.

Add more citations

Similar books and articles

Understanding Conditionalization.Christopher J. G. Meacham - 2015 - Canadian Journal of Philosophy 45 (5):767-797.
Three Models of Sequential Belief Updating on Uncertain Evidence.James Hawthorne - 2004 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 33 (1):89-123.
Sleeping Beauty and De Nunc Updating.Namjoong Kim - 2010 - Dissertation, University of Massachusetts
Commutativity or Holism? A Dilemma for Conditionalizers.Jonathan Weisberg - 2009 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 60 (4):793-812.
Conditionalization and Rational Belief Change.Susan Nicolet Vineberg - 1992 - Dissertation, University of California, Berkeley
Why Bayesian Psychology Is Incomplete.Frank Doring - 1999 - Philosophy of Science 66 (S1):S379 - S389.
Why Bayesian Psychology is Incomplete.Frank Döring - 1999 - Philosophy of Science 66 (3):389.

Analytics

Added to PP index
2017-07-01

Total views
62 ( #139,976 of 2,280,728 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
8 ( #125,140 of 2,280,728 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads

My notes

Sign in to use this feature