Scientific Uncertainty: A User's Guide
Grantham Institute on Climate Change Discussion Paper (2012)
| Abstract | There are different kinds of uncertainty. I outline some of the various ways that uncertainty enters science, focusing on uncertainty in climate science and weather prediction. I then show how we cope with some of these sources of error through sophisticated modelling techniques. I show how we maintain confidence in the face of error. | |||||||||
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H. N. Pollack (2003). Uncertain Science ...: Uncertain World. Cambridge University Press.
Alessandro Giordani & Luca Mari (forthcoming). Modeling Measurement: Error and Uncertainty. In Marcel Boumans, Giora Hon & Arthur Petersen (eds.), Error and Uncertainty in Scientific Practice. Pickering & Chatto.
John H. Flavell (2003). Varieties of Uncertainty Monitoring. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 26 (3):344-344.
Samira Guennif (2002). From Knowledge to Individual Action. Confidence, the Hidden Face of Uncertainty. A Rereading of the Works of Knight and Keynes. Mind and Society 3 (2):13-28.
Sven Ove Hansson (1996). Decision Making Under Great Uncertainty. Philosophy of the Social Sciences 26 (3):369-386.
Niki Pfeifer (2007). Rational Argumentation Under Uncertainty. In G. Kreuzbauer, N. Gratzl & E. Hiebl (eds.), Persuasion Und Wissenschaft: Aktuelle Fragestellungen von Rhetorik Und Argumentationstheorie. Lit.
Douglas Allchin (2012). Taking Scientific Error and Uncertainty Seriously. Metascience 21 (3):715-718.
William L. Ascher (2004). Scientific Information and Uncertainty: Challenges for the Use of Science in Policymaking. Science and Engineering Ethics 10 (3):437-455.
J. M. Martinez (2012). Managing Scientific Uncertainty in Medical Decision Making: The Case of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices. Journal of Medicine and Philosophy 37 (1):6-27.
L. B. McCullough (2012). Responsibly Managing Uncertainties In Clinical Ethics. Journal of Medicine and Philosophy 37 (1):1-5.
Matthew C. Wilson (2009). Creativity, Probability and Uncertainty. Journal of Economic Methodology 16 (1):45-56.
Lawrence E. Fraley (1994). Uncertainty About Determinism: A Critical Review of Challenges to the Determinism of Modern Science. Behavior and Philosophy 22 (2):71 - 83.
Eric Swanson (2009). How Not to Theorize About the Language of Subjective Uncertainty. In Andy Egan & B. Weatherson (eds.), Epistemic Modality. Oxford University Press.
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