A progress report on the training of probability assessors

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In Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic & Amos Tversky (eds.), Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press. pp. 294--305 (1982)
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The trouble with overconfidence.Don A. Moore & Paul J. Healy - 2008 - Psychological Review 115 (2):502-517.
Calibration, coherence, and scoring rules.Teddy Seidenfeld - 1985 - Philosophy of Science 52 (2):274-294.

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