Topoi 18 (2):97-116 (1999)

In this paper we examine the thesis that the probability of the conditional is the conditional probability. Previous work by a number of authors has shown that in standard numerical probability theories, the addition of the thesis leads to triviality. We introduce very weak, comparative conditional probability structures and discuss some extremely simple constraints. We show that even in such a minimal context, if one adds the thesis that the probability of a conditional is the conditional probability, then one trivializes the theory. Another way of stating the result is that the conditional of conditional probability cannot be represented in the object language on pain of trivializing the theory.
Keywords Philosophy   Philosophy   Philosophy of Science   Philosophy of Technology
Categories (categorize this paper)
Reprint years 2004
DOI 10.1023/A:1006238120301
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Request removal from index
Revision history

Download options

PhilArchive copy

Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 70,265
External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library

References found in this work BETA

The Logic of Scientific Discovery.K. Popper - 1959 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 10 (37):55-57.
A Model of the Universe: Space-Time, Probability, and Decision.Storrs McCall - 1994 - Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press.
A Model of the Universe.Storrs McCall - 1994 - Philosophical Quarterly 47 (186):113-115.

View all 8 references / Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

Lewis’ Triviality for Quasi Probabilities.Eric Raidl - 2019 - Journal of Logic, Language and Information 28 (4):515-549.

Add more citations

Similar books and articles


Added to PP index

Total views
97 ( #120,641 of 2,507,661 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
1 ( #416,871 of 2,507,661 )

How can I increase my downloads?


My notes