Analysis 63 (279):266–268 (2003)
|Abstract||Beauty is about to be drugged, rendering her unconscious for a long time. During that time she will be awakened briefly, either once (on Monday) or twice (on Monday and Tuesday). The number of awakenings depends on the toss of a fair coin: if the result is Tails, she is awakened twice: if Heads, once. The nature of the drug is that she will not remember being awake. In particular, when she is awakened, she will not know whether it is Monday or Tuesday. Upon awakening on Monday, what should her degree of belief be that the coin landed Heads?|
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