Inertia, Optimism and Beauty

Noûs 47 (1):85-103 (2013)
Abstract
The best arguments for the 1/3 answer to the Sleeping Beauty problem all require that when Beauty awakes on Monday she should be uncertain what day it is. I argue that this claim should be rejected, thereby clearing the way to accept the 1/2 solution
Keywords Sleeping Beauty  Bayesian Epistemology
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DOI 10.1111/j.1468-0068.2010.00817.x
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References found in this work BETA
Some Problems for Conditionalization and Reflection.Frank Arntzenius - 2003 - Journal of Philosophy 100 (7):356-370.
Sleeping Beauty: Reply to Elga.David Lewis - 2001 - Analysis 61 (3):171–76.
The Relevance of Self-Locating Beliefs.Michael G. Titelbaum - 2008 - Philosophical Review 117 (4):555-606.
Beauty and the Bets.Christopher Hitchcock - 2004 - Synthese 139 (3):405 - 420.

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Citations of this work BETA
An Embarrassment for Double-Halfers.Michael G. Titelbaum - 2012 - Thought: A Journal of Philosophy 1 (2):146-151.
The Evidential Relevance of Self-Locating Information.Kai Draper - 2013 - Philosophical Studies 166 (1):185-202.

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