Of Miracles and Evidential Probability: Hume's "Abject Failure" Vindicated

Hume Studies 31 (1):37-61 (2005)
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Abstract

This paper defends David Hume's "Of Miracles" from John Earman's (2000) Bayesian attack by showing that Earman misrepresents Hume's argument against believing in miracles and misunderstands Hume's epistemology of probable belief. It argues, moreover, that Hume's account of evidence is fundamentally non-mathematical and thus cannot be properly represented in a Bayesian framework. Hume's account of probability is show to be consistent with a long and laudable tradition of evidential reasoning going back to ancient Roman law.

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William Lee Vanderburgh
California State University, San Bernardino

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References found in this work

An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances.T. Bayes - 1763 - Philosophical Transactions 53:370-418.
David Hume and the Probability of Miracles.Barry Gower - 1990 - Hume Studies 16 (1):17-31.
Hume, Miracles and Lotteries.Dorothy P. Coleman - 1988 - Hume Studies 14 (2):328-346.

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