Results for 'Philip E. Tetlock'

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  1.  7
    Should “Systems Thinkers” Accept the Limits on Political Forecasting or Push the Limits?Philip E. Tetlock, Michael C. Horowitz & Richard Herrmann - 2012 - Critical Review 24 (3):375-391.
    Historical analysis and policy making often require counterfactual thought experiments that isolate hypothesized causes from a vast array of historical possibilities. However, a core precept of Jervis's ?systems thinking? is that causes are so interconnected that the historian can only with great difficulty imagine causation by subtracting all variables but one. Prediction, according to Jervis, is even more problematic: The more sensitive an event is to initial conditions (e.g., butterfly effects), the harder it is to derive accurate forecasts. Nevertheless, if (...)
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  2.  4
    Taboo Trade-Offs: Reactions to Transactions That Transgress the Spheres of Justice.Alan Page Fiske & Philip E. Tetlock - 1997 - Political Psychology 18 (2):255-297.
    Taboo trade-offs violate deeply held normative intuitions about the integrity, even sanctity, of certain relationships and the moral-political values underlying those relationships. For instance, if asked to estimate the monetary worth of one's children, of one's loyalty to one's country, or of acts of friendship, people find the questions more than merely confusing or cognitively intractable: they find such questions themselves morally offensive. This article draws on Fiske's relational theory and Tetlock's value pluralism model: to identify the conditions under (...)
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  3. Thinking the Unthinkable: Sacred Values and Taboo Cognitions.Philip E. Tetlock - 2003 - Trends in Cognitive Sciences 7 (7):320-324.
  4.  13
    Political Diversity Will Improve Social Psychological Science.José L. Duarte, Jarret T. Crawford, Charlotta Stern, Jonathan Haidt, Lee Jussim & Philip E. Tetlock - 2014 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences:1-54.
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  5. ""Attributions of Implicit Prejudice, or" Would Jesse Jackson 'Fail'the Implicit Association Test?", 15 Psychol.Hal R. Arkes & Philip E. Tetlock - 2004 - Inquiry 257:275.
     
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  6.  1
    Social Functionalist Frameworks for Judgment and Choice: Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors.Philip E. Tetlock - 2002 - Psychological Review 109 (3):451-471.
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  7.  11
    Cognitive Appraisals and Emotional Experience: Further Evidence.A. S. R. Manstead, Philip E. Tetlock & Tony Manstead - 1989 - Cognition and Emotion 3 (3):225-239.
  8.  3
    The Selfishness-Altruism Debate: In Defense of Agnosticism.Philip E. Tetlock - 1989 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 12 (4):723.
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  9. Theory- Versus Imagination-Driven Thinking About Historical Counterfactuals: Are We Prisoners of Our Preconceptions?Philip E. Tetlock & Erika Henik - 2005 - In David R. Mandel, Denis J. Hilton & Patrizia Catellani (eds.), The Psychology of Counterfactual Thinking. Routledge.
     
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  10.  2
    The Ever‐Shifting Psychological Foundations of Democratic Theory: Do Citizens Have the Right Stuff?Philip E. Tetlock - 1998 - Critical Review 12 (4):545-561.
    Abstract Timur Kuran's Private Truths, Public Lies makes a compelling case that people often misrepresent their private preferences in response to real or imagined social pressures, that the relative power of competing interest groups to punish opinion deviance and reward conformity determines the patterns and pervasiveness of preference falsification, and that preference falsifi?cation helps explain such diverse outcomes as the persistence and sudden collapse of communism and the precarious persistence of racial preferences in the United States and of the caste (...)
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  11.  16
    Second Thoughts Aboutexpert Political Judgment:Reply to the Symposium.Philip E. Tetlock - 2010 - Critical Review 22 (4):467-488.
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  12.  12
    The Consequences of Taking Consequentialism Seriously.Philip E. Tetlock - 1994 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 17 (1):31.
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  13.  3
    Debunking the Myth of Value-Neutral Virginity: Toward Truth in Scientific Advertising.David R. Mandel & Philip E. Tetlock - 2016 - Frontiers in Psychology 7.
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  14.  2
    Perceptual Dehumanization of Faces is Activated by Norm Violations and Facilitates Norm Enforcement.Katrina M. Fincher & Philip E. Tetlock - 2016 - Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 145 (2):131-146.
  15. The Implicit Prejudice Exchange: Islands of Consensus in a Sea of Controversy, 15 Psychol.Philip E. Tetlock & Hal R. Arkes - 2004 - Inquiry 311.
     
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  16. Impression Management Versus Intrapsychic Explanations in Social Psychology: A Useful Dichotomy?Philip E. Tetlock & Antony S. Manstead - 1985 - Psychological Review 92 (1):59-77.
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  17.  18
    Gauging the Heuristic Value of Heuristics.Philip E. Tetlock - 2005 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 28 (4):562-563.
    Heuristics are necessary but far from sufficient explanations for moral judgment. This commentary stresses: (a) the need to complement cold, cognitive-economizing functionalist accounts with hot, value-expressive, social-identity-affirming accounts; and (b) the importance of conducting reflective-equilibrium thought and laboratory experiments that explore the permeability of the boundaries people place on the “thinkable.”.
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  18. Some Thoughts About Thought Systems.Philip E. Tetlock - 1991 - In R. Wyer & T. Srull (eds.), The Content, Structure, and Operation of Thought Systems. Lawrence Erlbaum. pp. 4--197.
  19.  2
    It May Be Harder Than We Thought, but Political Diversity Will Improve Social Psychological Science.Jarret T. Crawford, José L. Duarte, Jonathan Haidt, Lee Jussim, Charlotta Stern & Philip E. Tetlock - 2015 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 38.
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  20. Predicting Behavior in Economic Games by Looking Through the Eyes of the Players.Barbara A. Mellers, Michael P. Haselhuhn, Philip E. Tetlock, José C. Silva & Alice M. Isen - 2010 - Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 139 (4):743-755.
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  21. Review Essays: Who Am I to Judge?: The Heart of Judgment: Practical Wisdom, Neuroscience, and Narrative, by Leslie Paul Thiele. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2006. 321 Pp. $85.00 . Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? By Philip E. Tetlock. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2005. 321 Pp. $19.95. [REVIEW]J. R. Martel - 2008 - Political Theory 37 (2):290-295.
  22. Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives.Philip Tetlock & Aaron Belkin - 1996
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  23.  5
    Functional Genomic Hypothesis Generation and Experimentation by a Robot Scientist.Ross King, Whelan D., E. Kenneth, Ffion Jones, Reiser M., G. K. Philip, Christopher Bryant, Muggleton H., H. Stephen, Douglas Kell, Oliver B. & G. Stephen - 2004 - Nature 427 (6971):247--52.
  24.  3
    Generalization in the Initial Stages of Learning Nonsense Syllables: I. Integral Responses.B. R. Philip & H. E. Peixotto - 1943 - Journal of Experimental Psychology 33 (1):50.
  25.  1
    The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis: Drivers of Prediction Accuracy in World Politics.Barbara Mellers, Eric Stone, Pavel Atanasov, Nick Rohrbaugh, S. Emlen Metz, Lyle Ungar, Michael M. Bishop, Michael Horowitz, Ed Merkle & Philip Tetlock - 2015 - Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied 21 (1):1-14.
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  26.  1
    Generalization in the Initial Stages of Learning Nonsense Syllables: II. Partial and Inadequate Responses.B. R. Philip & H. E. Peixotto - 1943 - Journal of Experimental Psychology 33 (2):136.
  27. The Statue Within.Franklin Philip, Francis Crick, Anthony Serafini, Arthur Kornberg & Lily E. Kay - 1992 - Journal of the History of Biology 25 (1):149-155.
     
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  28. Second Thoughts About Expert Political Judgment: Reply To The Symposium.Philip Tetlock - 2010 - Critical Review of International Social and Political Philosophy 22 (4):467-488.
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  29.  24
    Creation and Evolution: PHILIP E. DEVINE.Philip E. Devine - 1996 - Religious Studies 32 (3):325-337.
    Despite the bad reputation of the legal profession, law remains king in America. A highly diverse society relies on the laws to maintain a working sense of the dignity and inviability of each individual. And a persistent element in contemporary debates is the fear that naturalistic theories of the human person will erode our belief that we have a dignity greater than that of other natural objects. Thus the endurance of the creation vs. evolution debate is due less to the (...)
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  30.  13
    The Moral Basis of Vegetarianism: Philip E. Devine.Philip E. Devine - 1978 - Philosophy 53 (206):481-505.
    If someone abstains from meat-eating for reasons of taste or personal economics, no moral or philosophical question arises. But when a vegetarian attempts to persuade others that they, too, should adopt his diet, then what he says requires philosophical attention. While a vegetarian might argue in any number of ways, this essay will be concerned only with the argument for a vegetarian diet resting on a moral objection to the rearing and killing of animals for the human table. The vegetarian, (...)
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  31.  2
    The Religious Significance of the Ontological Argument: PHILIP E.DEVINE.Philip E. Devine - 1975 - Religious Studies 11 (1):97-116.
    It seems clear that the ontological argument can no longer be dismissed as a silly fallacy. The dogma of the impossibility of necessary existence is seriously threatened by the case of necessary existential truths in mathematics, and as for the claim that the ontological argument must beg the question, since by mentioning God in the premise his existence is presupposed, it is undermined by the fact that we often refer to things—Hamlet for instance— we do not for a moment think (...)
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  32.  1
    Homicide Revisited: Philip E. Devine.Philip E. Devine - 1980 - Philosophy 55 (213):329-347.
    Jonathan Glover and I, while not in such deep disagreement about the ethics of killing as to make all communication impossible, still disagree enough to make sustained confrontation worthwhile. At minimum, such confrontation should make it clear what are the most fundamental issues at stake in ethical arguments about various kinds of killing.
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  33. Does St Anselm Beg the Question?: Philip E. Devine.Philip E. Devine - 1975 - Philosophy 50 (193):271-281.
    The following objection to the ‘ontological’ argument of St Anselm has a continuing importance. The argument begs the question by introducing into the first premise the name ‘God’. In order for something to be truly talked about, to have properties truly attributed to it—it has been said—it must exist; a statement containing a vacuous name must either be false, meaningless, or lacking in truth-value, if it is not a misleading formulation to be explained by paraphrase into other terms. In any (...)
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  34. Philip Merlan e la metafisica aristotelica.Walter Leszl - 1970 - Rivista di Storia Della Filosofia 25 (1):3.
    The paper offers a discussion of Philip Merlan's contributions (in "From Platonism to Neoplatonism, The Hague 1960, e in some papers of his, now included in his "Kleine Philosophische Schriften", Hildesheim 1976) to the understanding of Aristotle's metaphysics, with particular reference to the science of being qua being.
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  35. On Computational Theories of Interaction and Agency (Philip E. Agre and Stanley J. Rosenschein, Eds).E. Nissan - 1997 - Pragmatics and Cognition 5:384-394.
     
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  36. Philip E. Devine. Human Diversity and the Culture Wars: Philosophical Perspectives on Contemporary Cultural Conflict. (Wesport, Connecticut: Praeger.) Pp. 192. £43.95. [REVIEW]B. A. - 1998 - Religious Studies 34 (2):231-234.
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  37.  14
    Devine, Philip E. Natural Law Ethics.John Goyette - 2001 - Review of Metaphysics 54 (4):914-915.
  38.  6
    The New Logic and the New Mathematics. In Comment on Mr. Philip E. B. Jourdain's Articles.Paul Carus - 1911 - The Monist 21 (4):630-633.
  39.  5
    The Ethics of Homicide By Philip E. Devine Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 1978, 248 Pp., $12.95. [REVIEW]Barrie Paskins - 1982 - Philosophy 57 (220):272-.
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  40.  8
    Wolfgang van Emden and Philip E. Bennett, Eds., with Alexander Kerr, Guillaume d'Orange and the Chanson de Geste: Essays Presented to Duncan McMillan in Celebration of His Seventieth Birthday by His Friends and Colleagues of the Société Rencesvals. Reading, Eng.: Société Rencesvals (British Branch), 1984. Paper. Pp. Xi, 218; Frontispiece. [REVIEW]Peter R. Grillo - 1987 - Speculum 62 (1):242-243.
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  41.  8
    The Ethics of Homicide. By Philip E. Devine.Patrick Lee - 1981 - Modern Schoolman 59 (1):75-76.
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  42.  7
    Devine, Philip E., Natural Law Ethics.Laurence Dickie - 2001 - Teaching Business Ethics 5 (4):475-476.
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  43.  4
    Philip E. Devine. Human Diversity and the Culture Wars: Philosophical Perspectives on Contemporary Cultural Conflict. (Wesport, Connecticut: Praeger.) Pp. 192. £43.95. [REVIEW]A. B. P. - 1998 - Religious Studies 34 (2):231-234.
  44.  2
    A Guide to the Records in the Corporation of London Records Office and the Guildhall Library Muniment Room. Philip E. Jones, Raymond Smith.Robert S. Hoyt - 1952 - Speculum 27 (3):385-385.
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  45.  3
    Philip E. Bennett, Carnaval héroïque et écriture cyclique dans la geste de Guillaume d'orange. Paris: Honoré Champion, 2006. Pp. 431. €97.28. [REVIEW]Alice M. Colby-Hall - 2008 - Speculum 83 (4):954-956.
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  46.  2
    Philip E. Johnson, Le darwinisme en question: science ou métaphysique? Traduit de l'américain et préfacé par Laurent Guyénot. Postface du Dr. Anne Dambricourt-Malassé. Deuxième édition revue et augmentée. [REVIEW]Jacques Follon - 2003 - Revue Philosophique De Louvain 101 (2):340-344.
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  47.  2
    Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society, by Philip E. B. Jourdain.Jane Ellen Harrison - 1917 - Ethics 28 (1):129.
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  48.  1
    Essays on the Life and Work of Newton by Augustus De Morgan; Philip E. B. Jourdain. [REVIEW] J. - 1920 - Isis: A Journal of the History of Science 3:283-285.
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  49.  1
    Newton's Hypotheses of Ether and of Gravitation From 1693 to 1726 by Philip E. B. Jourdain; Newton. [REVIEW] J. - 1920 - Isis: A Journal of the History of Science 3:288-289.
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  50.  1
    The Flying Arrow; An Anachronism by Philip E. B. Jourdain. [REVIEW] J. - 1920 - Isis: A Journal of the History of Science 3:277-278.
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