Results for 'Philip E. Tetlock'

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  1.  19
    Should “Systems Thinkers” Accept the Limits on Political Forecasting or Push the Limits?Philip E. Tetlock, Michael C. Horowitz & Richard Herrmann - 2012 - Critical Review 24 (3):375-391.
    Historical analysis and policy making often require counterfactual thought experiments that isolate hypothesized causes from a vast array of historical possibilities. However, a core precept of Jervis's ?systems thinking? is that causes are so interconnected that the historian can only with great difficulty imagine causation by subtracting all variables but one. Prediction, according to Jervis, is even more problematic: The more sensitive an event is to initial conditions (e.g., butterfly effects), the harder it is to derive accurate forecasts. Nevertheless, if (...)
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  2. Thinking the Unthinkable: Sacred Values and Taboo Cognitions.Philip E. Tetlock - 2003 - Trends in Cognitive Sciences 7 (7):320-324.
  3.  59
    Political Diversity Will Improve Social Psychological Science.José L. Duarte, Jarret T. Crawford, Charlotta Stern, Jonathan Haidt, Lee Jussim & Philip E. Tetlock - 2015 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 38:1-54.
  4.  16
    Social Functionalist Frameworks for Judgment and Choice: Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors.Philip E. Tetlock - 2002 - Psychological Review 109 (3):451-471.
  5.  2
    Impression Management Versus Intrapsychic Explanations in Social Psychology: A Useful Dichotomy?Philip E. Tetlock & Antony S. Manstead - 1985 - Psychological Review 92 (1):59-77.
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  6. Attributions of Implicit Prejudice, or "Would Jesse Jackson 'Fail' the Implicit Association Test?".Hal R. Arkes & Philip E. Tetlock - 2004 - Psychological Inquiry 15 (4):257-78.
  7.  24
    It May Be Harder Than We Thought, but Political Diversity Will Improve Social Psychological Science.Jarret T. Crawford, José L. Duarte, Jonathan Haidt, Lee Jussim, Charlotta Stern & Philip E. Tetlock - 2015 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 38.
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  8.  49
    Cognitive Appraisals and Emotional Experience: Further Evidence.A. S. R. Manstead, Philip E. Tetlock & Tony Manstead - 1989 - Cognition and Emotion 3 (3):225-239.
  9.  28
    Debunking the Myth of Value-Neutral Virginity: Toward Truth in Scientific Advertising.David R. Mandel & Philip E. Tetlock - 2016 - Frontiers in Psychology 7.
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  10.  8
    Predicting Behavior in Economic Games by Looking Through the Eyes of the Players.Barbara A. Mellers, Michael P. Haselhuhn, Philip E. Tetlock, José C. Silva & Alice M. Isen - 2010 - Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 139 (4):743-755.
  11. Theory- Versus Imagination-Driven Thinking About Historical Counterfactuals: Are We Prisoners of Our Preconceptions?Philip E. Tetlock & Erika Henik - 2005 - In David R. Mandel, Denis J. Hilton & Patrizia Catellani (eds.), The Psychology of Counterfactual Thinking. Routledge.
     
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  12.  31
    Gauging the Heuristic Value of Heuristics.Philip E. Tetlock - 2005 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 28 (4):562-563.
    Heuristics are necessary but far from sufficient explanations for moral judgment. This commentary stresses: (a) the need to complement cold, cognitive-economizing functionalist accounts with hot, value-expressive, social-identity-affirming accounts; and (b) the importance of conducting reflective-equilibrium thought and laboratory experiments that explore the permeability of the boundaries people place on the “thinkable.”.
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  13.  33
    Second Thoughts About Expert Political Judgment: Reply to the Symposium.Philip E. Tetlock - 2010 - Critical Review 22 (4):467-488.
  14.  9
    The Implicit Prejudice Exchange: Islands of Consensus in a Sea of Controversy.Philip E. Tetlock & Hal R. Arkes - 2004 - Psychological Inquiry 15 (4).
  15.  8
    The Selfishness-Altruism Debate: In Defense of Agnosticism.Philip E. Tetlock - 1989 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 12 (4):723-724.
  16.  11
    Correcting Judgment Correctives in National Security Intelligence.David R. Mandel & Philip E. Tetlock - 2018 - Frontiers in Psychology 9.
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  17.  13
    The Ever‐Shifting Psychological Foundations of Democratic Theory: Do Citizens Have the Right Stuff?Philip E. Tetlock - 1998 - Critical Review 12 (4):545-561.
    Abstract Timur Kuran's Private Truths, Public Lies makes a compelling case that people often misrepresent their private preferences in response to real or imagined social pressures, that the relative power of competing interest groups to punish opinion deviance and reward conformity determines the patterns and pervasiveness of preference falsification, and that preference falsifi?cation helps explain such diverse outcomes as the persistence and sudden collapse of communism and the precarious persistence of racial preferences in the United States and of the caste (...)
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  18.  20
    Perceptual Dehumanization of Faces is Activated by Norm Violations and Facilitates Norm Enforcement.Katrina M. Fincher & Philip E. Tetlock - 2016 - Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 145 (2):131-146.
  19.  25
    The Consequences of Taking Consequentialism Seriously.Philip E. Tetlock - 1994 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 17 (1):31-32.
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  20. Some Thoughts About Thought Systems.Philip E. Tetlock - 1991 - In R. Wyer & T. Srull (eds.), The Content, Structure, and Operation of Thought Systems. Lawrence Erlbaum. pp. 4--197.
  21.  12
    Understanding Religion: The Challenge of E. O. Wilson.Heffner Philip - 2001 - Zygon 36 (2):241-248.
  22.  6
    Macedonia, Thrace, and Illyria: Their Relation to Greece From the Earliest Times Down to the Time of Philip, Son of Amyntas. By Stanley Casson. Pp. Xxii + 357: With 19 Maps and 106 Illustrations. Oxford University Press, 1926. [REVIEW]A. G. E. - 1926 - Journal of Hellenic Studies 46 (2):291-291.
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  23.  36
    Functional Genomic Hypothesis Generation and Experimentation by a Robot Scientist.Ross King, Whelan D., E. Kenneth, Ffion Jones, Reiser M., G. K. Philip, Christopher Bryant, Muggleton H., H. Stephen, Douglas Kell, Oliver B. & G. Stephen - 2004 - Nature 427 (6971):247--52.
  24.  11
    The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis: Drivers of Prediction Accuracy in World Politics.Barbara Mellers, Eric Stone, Pavel Atanasov, Nick Rohrbaugh, S. Emlen Metz, Lyle Ungar, Michael M. Bishop, Michael Horowitz, Ed Merkle & Philip Tetlock - 2015 - Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied 21 (1):1-14.
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  25.  44
    Forecasting Tournaments, Epistemic Humility and Attitude Depolarization.Barbara Mellers, Philip Tetlock & Hal R. Arkes - 2019 - Cognition 188:19-26.
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  26.  26
    Generalization in the Initial Stages of Learning Nonsense Syllables: I. Integral Responses.B. R. Philip & H. E. Peixotto - 1943 - Journal of Experimental Psychology 33 (1):50.
  27.  19
    Generalization in the Initial Stages of Learning Nonsense Syllables: II. Partial and Inadequate Responses.B. R. Philip & H. E. Peixotto - 1943 - Journal of Experimental Psychology 33 (2):136.
  28. The Statue Within.Franklin Philip, Francis Crick, Anthony Serafini, Arthur Kornberg & Lily E. Kay - 1992 - Journal of the History of Biology 25 (1):149-155.
     
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  29.  52
    Creation and Evolution: PHILIP E. DEVINE.Philip E. Devine - 1996 - Religious Studies 32 (3):325-337.
    Despite the bad reputation of the legal profession, law remains king in America. A highly diverse society relies on the laws to maintain a working sense of the dignity and inviability of each individual. And a persistent element in contemporary debates is the fear that naturalistic theories of the human person will erode our belief that we have a dignity greater than that of other natural objects. Thus the endurance of the creation vs. evolution debate is due less to the (...)
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  30.  41
    The Moral Basis of Vegetarianism: Philip E. Devine.Philip E. Devine - 1978 - Philosophy 53 (206):481-505.
    If someone abstains from meat-eating for reasons of taste or personal economics, no moral or philosophical question arises. But when a vegetarian attempts to persuade others that they, too, should adopt his diet, then what he says requires philosophical attention. While a vegetarian might argue in any number of ways, this essay will be concerned only with the argument for a vegetarian diet resting on a moral objection to the rearing and killing of animals for the human table. The vegetarian, (...)
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  31. Faith in an Age of Terror. Edited by Quek Tze Ming and Philip E. Satterthwaite. Singapore: Genesis Books, 2018, Pp.150. ISBN: 978- 981-48-0707-4. [REVIEW]Rabi’ah Aminudin - 2018 - Intellectual Discourse 26 (2):956-959.
    This book is timely considering that the beginning of the 21st century is marked by the tragedy of 9/11 which witnessed the most heinous act of terrorism committed in the land of democracy. This tragedy has changed the discourse on religion and terrorism and continues to be discussed by scholars. Experts are interested to explore the role of religion especially Christianity and Islam in the age where religious fundamentalism has been closely linked to violent acts. The book contains nine chapters (...)
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  32.  12
    Homicide Revisited: Philip E. Devine.Philip E. Devine - 1980 - Philosophy 55 (213):329-347.
    Jonathan Glover and I, while not in such deep disagreement about the ethics of killing as to make all communication impossible, still disagree enough to make sustained confrontation worthwhile. At minimum, such confrontation should make it clear what are the most fundamental issues at stake in ethical arguments about various kinds of killing.
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  33.  3
    Does St Anselm Beg the Question?: Philip E. Devine.Philip E. Devine - 1975 - Philosophy 50 (193):271-281.
    The following objection to the ‘ontological’ argument of St Anselm has a continuing importance. The argument begs the question by introducing into the first premise the name ‘God’. In order for something to be truly talked about, to have properties truly attributed to it—it has been said—it must exist; a statement containing a vacuous name must either be false, meaningless, or lacking in truth-value, if it is not a misleading formulation to be explained by paraphrase into other terms. In any (...)
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  34.  5
    The Religious Significance of the Ontological Argument: PHILIP E.DEVINE.Philip E. Devine - 1975 - Religious Studies 11 (1):97-116.
    It seems clear that the ontological argument can no longer be dismissed as a silly fallacy. The dogma of the impossibility of necessary existence is seriously threatened by the case of necessary existential truths in mathematics, and as for the claim that the ontological argument must beg the question, since by mentioning God in the premise his existence is presupposed, it is undermined by the fact that we often refer to things—Hamlet for instance— we do not for a moment think (...)
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  35. Philip Merlan e la metafisica aristotelica.Walter Leszl - 1970 - Rivista di Storia Della Filosofia 25 (1):3.
    The paper offers a discussion of Philip Merlan's contributions (in "From Platonism to Neoplatonism, The Hague 1960, e in some papers of his, now included in his "Kleine Philosophische Schriften", Hildesheim 1976) to the understanding of Aristotle's metaphysics, with particular reference to the science of being qua being.
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  36.  19
    Democracia republicana e cidadania contestatória em Philip Pettit.Alberto Paulo Neto - 2018 - Conjectura: Filosofia E Educação 23 (2):363-382.
    A filosofia política de Philip Pettit realiza a leitura normativa da matriz republicana de pensamento político. Na sua construção historiográfica e normativa do significado do republicanismo é reafirmada a centralidade da liberdade como não-dominação. Pettit mantém o intuito de releitura da cidadania republicana como sendo inclusivista e que possui o cunho de realidade política em sua notória preocupação com a condição social dos cidadãos. O republicanismo apregoa que a liberdade como não-dominação é o princípio necessário para avaliação de qualquer (...)
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  37. Philip E. Devine. Human Diversity and the Culture Wars: Philosophical Perspectives on Contemporary Cultural Conflict. (Wesport, Connecticut: Praeger.) Pp. 192. £43.95. [REVIEW]B. A. - 1998 - Religious Studies 34 (2):231-234.
  38.  20
    Reviews of Books and Periodicals Chronique Bibliographique : ALMOND, Gabriel A. ; VERBA, Sidney, The Civic Culture. Political Attitudes and Democracy in Five Nations. Princeton University Press, Princeton N.J. 1963, 562 P. JACOB, Philip E. ; TOSCANO, James V., , The Integration of Political Communities, J.B. Lippincott Company, Philadelphia & New York, 1964, 314 P. [REVIEW]Jerzy J. Wiatr - 1965 - Social Sciences Information 4 (2):220-228.
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  39.  12
    Philip E. Bennett, Leslie Zarker Morgan, and F. Regina Psaki, Eds., The Epic Imagination in Medieval Literature: Essays in Honor of Alice M. Colby-Hall. University, MS: University of Mississippi Press, 2016. Pp. Xvi, 315; 8 Color and 2 Black-and-White Figures. $50. ISBN: 978-1-889441-26-9. [REVIEW]Luke Sunderland - 2018 - Speculum 93 (3):795-796.
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  40.  5
    Selected Essays on the History of Set Theory and Logics Philip E. B. Jourdain Ivor Grattan-Guinness.Joan L. Richards - 1994 - Isis 85 (2):354-355.
  41.  17
    Carnaval héroïque et écriture cyclique dans la geste de Guillaume d'Orange. Philip E. Bennett.Alice M. Colby-Hall - 2008 - Speculum 83 (4):954-956.
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  42.  17
    The Ethics of Homicide By Philip E. Devine Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 1978, 248 Pp., $12.95. [REVIEW]Barrie Paskins - 1982 - Philosophy 57 (220):272-.
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  43.  19
    Devine, Philip E. Natural Law Ethics.John Goyette - 2001 - Review of Metaphysics 54 (4):914-915.
  44.  19
    The Ethics of Homicide. By Philip E. Devine.Patrick Lee - 1981 - Modern Schoolman 59 (1):75-76.
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  45.  15
    The New Logic and the New Mathematics. In Comment on Mr. Philip E. B. Jourdain's Articles.Paul Carus - 1911 - The Monist 21 (4):630-633.
  46.  15
    Philip E. Johnson, Le darwinisme en question: science ou métaphysique? Traduit de l'américain et préfacé par Laurent Guyénot. Postface du Dr. Anne Dambricourt-Malassé. Deuxième édition revue et augmentée. [REVIEW]Jacques Follon - 2003 - Revue Philosophique De Louvain 101 (2):340-344.
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  47.  13
    Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society, by Philip E. B. Jourdain.Jane Ellen Harrison - 1917 - Ethics 28 (1):129.
  48. Devine, Philip E., Natural Law Ethics.Laurence Dickie - 2001 - Teaching Business Ethics 5 (4):475-476.
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  49.  15
    Wolfgang van Emden and Philip E. Bennett, Eds., with Alexander Kerr, Guillaume d'Orange and the Chanson de Geste: Essays Presented to Duncan McMillan in Celebration of His Seventieth Birthday by His Friends and Colleagues of the Société Rencesvals. Reading, Eng.: Société Rencesvals (British Branch), 1984. Paper. Pp. Xi, 218; Frontispiece. [REVIEW]Peter R. Grillo - 1987 - Speculum 62 (1):242-243.
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  50.  8
    Philip E. B. Jourdain.George Sarton & Laura Jourdain - 1923 - Isis 5 (2):126-136.
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